Saturday, July 31, 2010

Republican Obstructionism

Jim Coons: Republicans: for tax breaks and small businesses, as long as Democrats are against them.

Seriously, what positive reason is there to vote Republican? What ideas do they have, what policies would they enact?

www.nytimes.com
The procedural blockade underscored how determined Republicans are to deny Democrats any further victories.


Cathal Duffy: Why can't Dingy Harry through the Republicans a few amendments?


Cathal Duffy: And by the way... as a small business owner myself, I'm just loving the new health care legislation which now requires that I file a 1099 on every entity I pay more than $600 in a year... I don't need government loans to run my business, I need them to get the hell out of the way.


Rich Cleland: well, Cathal, that was one of the amendments that was being considered before Republicans killed the bill. So you can blame the GOP for that.

Republicans were not being shut out of the debate, they wanted to stop the debate altogether by tacking on amendments that were irrelevant to getting money flowing again to small businesses. Your 1099 reform was sacrificed to keep up the Republican blockade, which is their strategy to keep Congress from doing its job ahead of the 2010 election because they've coldly calculated that scorched earth is a net win for them.

Nuclear loan guarantees? Border security? More welfare for the mega rich? These are contentious issues added to the bill not so they could pass, but so the bill would fail.

Maybe you don't need capital access to keep your own business afloat and hey, why the hell should you care if other small business owners can't keep their doors open and their employees paid. Certainly the megabanks that shut down small business lending and horde the public money they got last year don't care. why should anyone in America give a crap if it doesn't affect them?

Because it does affect all of us. 10% unemployment is not just emotionally and financially devastating to the families without jobs; it keeps those families from spending money in your business which stops your business from spending money in someone else's. That's what makes prosperity contagious.

And if that's not direct enough for you, remember to thank the Republicans when you're filling out all those 1099s next year because they're the ones who wanted to talk about nuclear loan guarantees instead.


Cathal Duffy: Rich, you do raise some good points, even in a harsh tone! I think some republicans are running a "stall everything" campaign, and I disagree very much with this approach. I've always believed you win elections with ideas, not simply by running an "at least I'm not him" campaign. But I also think the Democrats are shutting out any chance of bipartisanship by ruling as a "we won the election so we'll do what we want" type regime. But this issue is much larger than one bill, for example recess appointments according to the President himself and many of his fellow democrats were a usurpation of the constitution merely 2 years ago, now they're just fine... Similarly Judicial appointments deserved an up or down vote according to Mitch and the boys a few years ago and now we can filibuster them as much as we want...
While you do make some good points, some of your other points aren't based in reality in my opinion. Have you ever tried to get assistance from the small business administration who administers the guarantees on these loans? Not exactly the bastion of efficiency... and are you aware that the biggest recipients of the "Bush tax cuts for the wealthy" are small business owners, the same you claim you wish to help, yet they're all facing the highest tax increase in history because of the President's and the Democrats desire to allow them to sunset at the end of this year.... It is my prediction that if these tax cuts are allowed to sunset, 10% unemployment will look desirable compared to what will become the economic reality.
And let me get this straight, I should blame Republicans for not supporting a mega bill because it contained one amendment that would have negated an absolutely absurd requirement on small businesses, that was put in place by Democrats to begin with under the guise of "We don't need to read the healthcare bill, we'll find out what's in there after it's enacted"... Not exactly sound logic if I'm honest.


Andrew Hosek: Here's what you do to eliminate any hassle: eliminate any and all tax credits but lower the base tax rate across the board.


Rich Cleland: I apologize for the tone. It is a reaction to my disbelief that anyone still considers the GOP as a legitimate public entity operating in good faith with the objective to make America great for everybody instead of acting for the express interests of only a small, powerful, and wealthy elite.

For the record, I don't reserve judgment for Republicans alone. Many Democrats have been enthralled in the snare of money and power set by people who don't care who's in Washington as long as they are in power. But, while I can still identify Democrats who are operating against those interests, it's more difficult to find a steadfast people's Republican these days.

I get bipartisanship that tries to find compromises and test out new ideas that will hopefully make everyone succeed, but I'm curious to know how you engage in bipartisanship with someone who's goal is to get you to fail. "Why yes, in the interest of working together, I think i will drink a little of your poison. Just as a show of good faith." That's insane. And it is a false controversy that the Republicans have ginned up to make hay and cover up their true agenda.

Is it your opinion that the GOP really added nuclear loan guarantees and border security to a small business bill because they thought that was good for the bill?

Recess appointments? Blah. I won't get into this except to say that not all are created equal. Making a recess appointment to put a butt a seat that has been vacant for over a year is not the same as making a recess appointment because you can't get enough votes to make a guy who wants to destroy the UN our national representative to that body. And anyway, this has a direct corollary to my point above about the GOP calculation that Republicans win when government fails. Keeping organizations headless is a great way to make sure that happens.

What happens when you spend decades electing people who say the government is the problem? They get into office and prove themselves right. You tell me the SBA is inefficient. Fine. Is the rational response to abolish it? When the car is broken do you throw it away saying, "anyway, cars were a bad idea." ?? Efficiently or inefficiently, it is helping people. And it could have probably helped more if it wasn't for border security.

Taxes. So the story goes, if we don't continue the Bush tax cuts, the economy will fail. That sounds like extortion! The same extortion scam they used to ram through the cuts in the first place. If we don't cut taxes on the wealthy, we won't have any job growth. Well, we cut taxes for the wealthy and job growth was flat for a decade and wages did not keep up with inflation even though workers squeezed out sizable increases in productivity.

Taxpayers making at or under $250K annually will not have their taxes raised. If a "small" business is making more than that, I say, great, they've had a break for 10 years, hope they used it well because the people simply can't continue to subsidize their affluence.

Also, it can be very effective for politicians to use talking points like "the biggest tax increase in history" unburdened from the necessity of context. The current tax rate is lower than when Reagan was in office. Capital gains taxes at their current level are a joke. Hedge fund managers have sweetheart tax deals they bought out of congress. Should we not rectify that disparity? Is restoring balance to the system impossible if it requires actually making things fair?

Banks have a problem. They are still carrying a ton of bad debt on their books. To mitigate the effect of this on their books and limit shareholder outrage, they have invested the huge sums of money the american people lent to them into treasury bonds. Which is great for them because they have a steady return rate and so the holes on the balance sheets are harder to see.

This works out well for everybody...on wall street. Banks are protected, but they don't loan any money to small businesses because they need it to keep their books looking balanced. The American people get a great deal because they are now on the hook to pay interest to the banks on the treasury bonds that were bought with interest-free taxpayer money in the first place.

The SBA may be inefficient, but i don't think it's bank-malicious. It doesn't shock me that the government, in attempting to address this problem, would try to use the tools at it's disposal to accomplish what the private sector is refusing to do for itself...to the detriment of millions of its citizens.

The health care bill was bipartisan. It included a lot of provisions that Republicans have traditionally supported for decades (it has mandatory insurance, tort reform, exchanges, and hey, it's not single-payer). It just doesn't look bipartisan because, when it came time to work together for America, the Republicans went back to their calculators. If you remember, there was no room to fix anything in the bill because of obstruction from business interests (who have influence on both sides, to be sure) who wanted to be allowed to continue their assault on us unincorporated citizens.

I think what guided my tone most sharply was the sense i got from your response that if it doesn't affect you, it's not your problem. These are our problems. Corporations and the individuals who run them want you to keep your eye on your own prise. They cloud the information channels with noise and distraction to keep people from finding out how much they have co-opted the government for their own money trough. They shout "Highest tax increase ever," "death panels," and "un-American President" so that people won't have time to stop and take stock of the situation to see who's running off with the silverware.

The Republican party governs by fear and promotes selfishness. They tell me that if i don't give in and keep subsidizing the wealthy, i may lose my job. Well, people lost their jobs anyway.

You tell me, what have the Republicans done for America in the last decade?


Cathal Duffy: ?"because the people simply can't continue to subsidize their affluence. " A tax cut from 36% to 33% means "the people" subsidize "their" affluence, What exactly do you call the 50% of the population that pays ZERO federal income tax? Who's subsidizing who? You want small businesses to create jobs, yet you want small business owners to pay higher taxes... Good luck with that economic policy.
"Pass my stimulus package or unemployment might go above 8%"... Govern by fear? Extortion?


Rich Cleland: so wait. 50% don't pay any taxes and that's bad, but we should extend the bush tax cuts so they can continue to not pay any taxes which would be good?


Cathal Duffy: I'll take your refusal to answer the question "who's subsidizing who" as an admission of defeat. Good day, I've enjoyed it.


Rich Cleland: Good one. I missed the rules about "no-answer-backs." :)

Actually, I wanted let you clear up that problem in your logic before I continued...though I admit i am defeated.

Look. The government made a deal with you and everybody else who got those tax cuts. The deal was that tax cuts skewed to favor wealthier people would pay for themselves in increased tax revenues from economic growth. We the government fronted the cash for this little social experiment.

Results. The last ten years have not been good for the economy. They have not been good for job growth. They have not been good for wages. And they have not paid the government back for its investment in this scam.

Ok. Ha ha, jokes on me, you took my money. I get it. Good one. Better luck next time and all...

Now, I'm not asking for you give it back, but I think it's ok to ask you to stop taking it.

That 50% is as much people who don't make enough money to pay the government as it is people who make too much to pay the government. And the latter costs us way more.

while you're grousing about the people below you getting too much from you, you can bet your small business bottom dollar that there are big corporations out there, maybe competing with you, that pay less. And they vote Republican, too.

You want to know who subsidizes? It's both of us. We are both paying the system to beat us. If not in taxes or brand name shoes, then in some other way. If not now, then for everyone we will care about until the end of this country.

Take this as my admission of defeat. It is again clear to my why I cannot win. I'll even swear that I would like to see 20 more years of Republican leadership in this country. 20 years of GOP rule would do more for the progressive cause than 200 years at the hands of the Democrats.


Andrew Hosek: Rich, with regards to the "social experiment" of employing the Laffer Curve, there isn't an economist in the world who would agree with you that it doesn't exist. There is some debate as to where the curve lies, but good luck finding anyone that denies it exists.

The last ten years being 'not good for the economy' has little to do with the 'social experiment' that began roughly 30 years ago. It has much more to do with a Federal Reserve that pushed lax monetary policy, creating bubbles all over the map.

You and I can wholeheartedly agree that subsidizations are a problem. You would fight them on the grounds that they "harm the little man". I would fight them on the grounds that they create bubbles... Tax breaks are not subsidies, by the way--in principle nor effect. Eliminate tax credits but lower the base tax rate to a flat percentage and no special interest group can dominate anything, as well as you'd find increased productivity across the board...

Both parties are the problem, Democrats and Republicans alike. I have no allegiance here. The problem we often face is laying blame. We're more defensive of party and some supposedly high principle than we are of any sort of science of economics.

Side note: With regards to the myth of "all the wealthy being Republican", this is utterly false. Take a look on JSTOR in the political science section for studies on this matter. You'll find the commonly perpetuated myth thoroughly quashed by the numbers.


Rich Cleland: As I said, you win. Give us more and heaps of it.

However, I'm sorry for suggesting all rich people are republicans. That was not the point that I was trying to make, nor is the idea you construed from it relevant to my argument.

I am sorry my intent was poorly expressed; though, I think you may have misquoted me there.


Andrew Hosek: ?"...big corporations out there, maybe competing with you, that pay less. And they vote Republican, too."

The implication, given the whole conversation about the half that DON'T pay was that the wealthy/"Corporate America" all vote Republican


Rich Cleland: like i said. i'm sorry i was not clear. When i said that people vote Republican, I mistakenly thought it was understood that I didn't mean all the people, especially considering the inherent weakness of such a patently false argument and the fact that it was not necessary for me to claim it to make my point.

Nevertheless, I understand why you might think i did. I wasn't clear enough, so you misunderstood.

If you want me to explain my actual point further, feel free to message me.

Jim Coons: Wow... I forget to check facebook for a day and shit goes crazy!

My point with this was less the substance of the proposal (though I can't believe there are actually people who think the bill itself was a bad idea), and more the wholly disingenuous political wrangling perpetrated by the GOP here. (I'm repeating Rich's first comment here, but with the point of bringing the conversation back from the economics of it, toward the politics of the vote.) In point of fact, there was a bill up for a vote that contained a number of provisions that Republicans have called for over the past months. It was voted down not because they disagreed with it, but because they weren't allowed to offer irrelevant amendments. I'm choosing my words carefully here, so I mean it when I say: that's a mega-shitty move. Incredibly shitty. Both for the people who needed the benefits provided by this bill, and frankly, on the level of ethics. It's deceitful, cynical, and endlessly shitty.

I'd love to find someone to disagree with me here so I can argue with them. Please?


Jim Coons: PS - on the GOP's aforementioned shittiness, see the post from today about Andrew Weiner's floor speech, when the GOP blocked a vote to provide medical benefits to 9/11 first responders (which really happened - again, try to defend that one, I dare you).

Thursday, July 29, 2010

Sound bites

Given enough rope, anybody you want to fight, will hang themself.


-- Mobile and Free

Wednesday, July 28, 2010

Lenin in Zurich

forgotten history is full of people who lived out of their time.

Tuesday, July 27, 2010

Immigration

You know you have a problem when the poor can't even afford to live poorly.

Do you think the Romans had problems with slaves trying to sneak into their provinces looking for work? And if not, does that mean people could always find enough to survive where they lived? Until now.


-- Mobile and Free

Thursday, July 22, 2010

Haight actually




-- Mobile and Free

Tuesday, July 20, 2010

Media effects 2


Media has an effect. Multi-billions of dollars in branding and marketing put an end to opposition on this matter starting 50 years ago if don't count the fascists who showed the world the power of propaganda. If we researches have found it to be ellusive it's because of the weakness of our tools or the strength of our paradigm.

If the strength of the effect depends on the individual, then we should make a careful study of the messages to find what possible effect they could convey and set x to be the unknown amplifier indicating the size of the effect.

"This is a giraffe." is not indicative of "hatstand, football, tack," but it might be persuasive next to "this is a camel." (weird)

The point is that a message text conveys a number of things but not an infinite number of things. By studying the use of language in a body of text, it is possible to discover the range of possible effects. It is these ELEMENTAL effects, irrespective of the IMPACT effect, that can be cataloged and evaluated as positive or negative when applied to a particular perspective; in this case, to evaluate the potential for attention-getting protest to net positive elemental effects from media coverage of the event.

You can develop a sense attitudinal directions from the text and plot out a trajectory for variable impact effects based on clustering of attitude types. The important thing is to find out what is being said in the aggregate.

-- Mobile and Free

Monday, July 19, 2010

Media effects

Media and messages have effects. Those effects may be collosal or even notable for their absence. The dependant variable in the equation is the single changeable element which has variance possibly approaching N. Based on these idiosyncratic states, which could last for a moment or a lifetime, people are variably entranced or inured by the media of messages.

It has been suggested that messages can be less effective once someone has already accumulated some knowledge on a subject. That is why I recommend forming as many opinions as possible to protect yourself.

-- Mobile and Free

Thursday, July 15, 2010

Equivocation


Tyrany for the right reason does not become acceptable because it is not tyrany for the wrong reason.

-- Mobile and Free

The law

When you make petty laws, you make the law petty.


-- Mobile and Free

Discussions on a French bill proposing to ban burkas

Lauren Konopka posted this link.
Tuesday at 3:21pm

Rich Cleland: I don't know how they can act like this and still consider themselves on the side of liberty.
Tuesday at 6:38pm

Lauren Konopka: I agree...
Tuesday at 7:49pm

Chris Clague: probably not quite sober enough to provide a properly lucid response here, but are you saying the veil is a good thing?
23 hours ago

Lauren Konopka: I'm conflicted about veiling, especially from a non-Muslim western woman's perspective. It's certainly not something I'd want to wear, and my first reaction is to find it oppressive and when I see a woman covered in that manner, I have to admit I feel uncomfortable. But I also think it's pretty extreme to ban facial veils in public in this manner. Seems like a violation of civil liberties, and yet another move to further erode relations between Muslims and non-Muslims. What's your take on it? It's a tough one...
23 hours ago

Rich Cleland: I'm inclined to agree with the sentiment that the veils are a device of the patriarchal control infused into the religious doctrine of Islam for a number of reasons, including social control...something endemic in most Western religions from that era.

That said, my concept of liberty includes the freedom to practice your devotions to your god as you see fit (short of extremes like human sacrifice, etc...which, whatever that threshold is, is a long way away from covering your face). If a government says you can't go to church on Sunday or that you must work during Yom Kippur, I don't think that government is invested much in the spirit of liberty.

I agree with Lauren that this bill likely will greatly strain relations between the French and Muslims. Add it to the rules already in place forbidding head covers for school children in France (of course, insuring that Muslim kids stay out of secular schools and go to madrases instead, oops) and the ban on building minarets in Switzerland. It's part of the reactionary response to the changing demographic landscape of Europe (which is necessary because "traditional" Europeans stopped having enough babies to support their economic system).

In France, the cultural problems arise also from two places not directly related to Islam, 1) is a latent suspicion of all religion that is residue of the machinations of the Catholic in France in conjunction with the Monarchy and 2) the desire for comforting homogeneity runs deep. Someone once described to me the French idea of "Liberte" is not the same as the general American sense of the word in that (and i confess i don't really understand how this works, but...) the French take it to mean something like "the freedom to be French."

anyway, that's my $.02.
21 hours ago

Chris Clague: Being something of a wooly liberal (or a dangerous radical in Tea-Party parlance), I'm of the live and let live point of view. I have no objection to people practicing their religion, but I do object when they impose it on others. I don't like the veil from a oppression/control angle, but my beef is also that when worn in Western society it ignores/is insensitive to our customs.

When somebody wears a mask (or a hoodie or whatever) it is perceived (rightly or wrongly) that they either have something to hide or are being in some way deceitful. We place an awful lot of value when communicating on facial recognition/response which is impossible. I guess you could try using skype but where the other party can see you, but you can't see them! It feels like you are at an immediate disadvantage.

I don't know how widely reported it was in the states, but we had a wanted criminal escape the country here as he wore his wife's Burka through passport control and this was allowed, which is patently ridiculous.

The French have made a great effort to separate state from religion (for example, you can't get married in a church!), and I guess this is a logical extension of that process. I think it's a positive thing. Sorry I couldn't be more eloquent in my argument though!
5 hours ago

Rich Cleland: Chris, I entirely agree that it is an unacceptable lapse to allow people through security without making a visual reference check between the identification and individual. It seems impossible to believe that there were not some measures that could be put in place to work with the Islamic practice in airports. But that seems more a rebuke of inept airport security officials rather than an injunction against religious adherences.

As to the competitive advantage to be gained from wearing a burka around people who remain exposed, I'm not sure it is a net advantage in the end. In any event, I try not to view my day-to-day interactions with people in terms of personal advantage or disadvantage because of the negative influence I found that line of thinking has on my well-being. I found it to be a psychological relief to discover that the vast majority of people i will come across in my lifetime do not wish me ill or even feel we are engaged in some sort of competition.

In addition, I'm not afraid for my customs. They are strong, and even so, I look forward to how they evolve and grow from interaction with others.

A free society is not judged by how well it tolerates its people going with the flow, rather it is judged by how it acts when they start to rub. The gain we receive from living in a free society is the opportunity it affords to learn about ourselves and others when our ways are put into contact.

Aside from liberation from fear and opportunity for personal growth, there is the inevitable downside to cultural apartheids. When governments through their citizens systematically disenfranchise a population from their opportunity of equal participation in the public sphere, it can't later be chagrined when those people reject its authority.

Of course people reject tyranny. When there are enough of them, they do something about it, until then, they make plans to do something about it. Ultimately, the only way to receive respect is to give it bravely.

I would further add that walking down the street is hardly a state affair. Denuding this activity of personal religious expression is hardly a matter of a separation for church and state.

The effect of the French bill if it passes will be to engender false security and puff up the ridiculous cultural imperialist mentality through government sanction while stoking the feelings of alienation and fulfilling the dark prophesies of radical extremists who are empowered through government censure.

In the end, great, the offense is removed from the streets! Instead, those women in the burkas sit at home, increasing their isolation with even less opportunity experience our customs and possibly be changed by them too.

I think this is the long view. I think that this is how a free society is supposed to function. I think the answer to ending terrorism is to just stop terrorizing first and then see what happens. And frankly, i'm tired of people, wooly or otherwise, not seeing it my way! :)

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Kill the hydra?

Corporations have spent the last 50 years creating reasons for people to hate us. They have travelled all over the world taking the profits without paying the costs.

And now, when those people come to collect on the damages, those same companies are right there to sell us the shit we need to defend ourselves.

Fucking convenient.

-- Mobile and Free

Sunday, July 4, 2010

Rabbit chopping

I don't know why they talk about chickens with there heads cut off.


-- Mobile and Free

Saturday, July 3, 2010

A thing

Histories are only written by people with a future.


-- Mobile and Free

Friday, July 2, 2010

The Future


future119 up, 18 down
A period of time that you presently want to be in be in because of the wonderful theories and concepts envisioned. But when the future becomes the present, you'll wish it were still the past. because the theories and concepts either (a) never came true, (b) weren't worth the wait, or (c) really sucked.


ok, i've now read several of this person's supplied definition and (s)he's a pretty dark kid. I do like this one because, though real bitter and youngish, makes a good observation: You may wish you were in the future, but when the future arrives you gripe that it ain't what it used to be.

Thursday, July 1, 2010

copyrights

In the modern media market, producers are somewhat handicapped in negotiations with consumers over price because the choice for consumers is not, as in other markets, one between having and not having, but rather between buying or finding. The price invoked by producers is weighed by consumers against an assessment of the their own time-value and whatever personal sentiments they have for legitimacy.

in that environment, the onus of legitimacy is the definite burden of the producer to maintain because the extent they are seen by consumers as legit is the moral threshold for them to act in the producer's interest instead of co-opting the merchandise.

Dialog

"Are you drunk?"
"Not enough to lie about it."

The Democratization of Violence

The 18th Century taught us that even the biggest army could still fall to a smallest militia. And already the twenty-first century has bent that arc down to only a handful, approaching one.

When we live in a world where any person could end it, how will we act? Would you kill me before I can kill you? Or would we recognize that we owe our individual sovereignty to all the billions who allow us to have it here on this crowded spec of wet iron in the middle of nowhere.

Because they can take it back whenever they want. And nine times out of ten--for nine people out of ten--they do; the ones carrying the guns as much as the ones not-watching it on tv.

The democratization of violence is technology's gift of the universal franchise for tearing something down or blowing somethig up.

In a world of retail access to total violence, we simply can't continue to govern by invinciblility. The ruling Prince may be right that love fades, but he's forgotten that hate lasts forever and 21st century peasants have a much more effective fertilizer bomb at hand.

[we need to look up from these flickering shadows...]

Stop thinking we need to make people see things just like us. Society is not about concensus, it contact. It's about a negotiation where no advantage is taken except shared by all equally.

[i know. In our time, it's hard to think of something we could all take equally as much of an advantage. It's an oxy moron, or something from Escher. And who does that frame in opposition?]

More to come.


-- Mobile and Free